Saturday, January 27, 2007

Turkey:Dividing Iraq means 'endless war'

Toronto Star reports that Turkey is warning US not to leave Iraq in Chaos:

DAVOS, Switzerland – Turkey urged the United States not to leave a power vacuum when it exits Iraq nor allow the country to split, saying a divided Iraq would slip into "endless war" involving all of its neighbours.
"They cannot leave a vacuum behind them," Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul said during the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum held in the Alpine ski resort Davos.
"If Iraq is divided, there will be a real civil war and all the neighbours will be involved in this," he said. "If that happens, there will be another dark era in Iraqi history, there will be endless war, civil war."

Mr. Gul is right.If Iraq breaks up, it will negate the post- WW I Lausanne settlement altogether. The Treaty of Lausanne (July 24, 1923) was a peace treaty that settled a part of the partitioning of the Ottoman Empire that reflected the consequences of the Turkish Independence War between Allies of World War I and Turkish national movement, (Grand National Assembly of Turkey). It delimited the boundaries of Greece, Bulgaria, and Turkey, formally ceded all Turkish claims on Cyprus, Iraq and Syria, and (along with the Treaty of Ankara) settled the boundaries of the latter two nations. The treaty also led to the international recognization of the sovereignty of the new Republic of Turkey as the successor state of the defunct Ottoman Empire.

Mr. Gul said, "If there is a division, we will not recognize any new government in the region," he said. "We (Turkey and its neighbours) are all having the same target: to keep Iraq as one."


Iran and Sauid Arabia will also be involved in such a scenario. A much bigger conflagration, which we have to get involved in again if we left Iraq. I wonder if Hagel et al have thought about all of these unintended consequences when they talk about troop withdrawal?

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